Columbia River fall chinook return could be the largest since 1938, the total forecast of 1,602,900 Columbia River fall Chinook.

State Fish and Wildlife sent out the fall chinook return for this year and with more than 1.6-million forecasted on top of another 1.2-million coho, which may lead to some outstanding fishing in the ocean and in-river this coming summer! In addition to nearly a million Columbia River coho swimming in the ocean, 1.6 million fall Chinook are expected to the Columbia River in 2014, the largest return since at least 1938! Nearly 1 million of those Chinook are expected to be upriver brights of which 2/3 will be four-year-olds. This year’s forecasted run is over 25% larger than the 2013 actual return. Last year’s actual return came in nearly twice as large as the preseason forecast.

COLUMBIA RIVER FALL CHINOOK

2013 Forecast/Actual Returns and 2014 Preseason Forecasts

Lower River Hatchery – LRH

  • 2013 forecast 88,000
  • 2013 actual return 103,200
  • 2014 forecast 110,000

Lower River Wild – LRW

  • 2013 forecast 14,200
  • 2013 actual return 25,800
  • 2014 forecast 34,200

Bonneville Pool Hatchery – BPH

  • 2013 forecast 38,000
  • 2013 actual return86,600
  • 2014 forecast 115,100

Upriver Bright – URB

  • 2013 forecast 432,500
  • 2013 actual return 784,100
  • 2014 forecast 973,300

Bonneville Upriver Bright – BUB

  • 2013 forecast 35,200
  • 2013 actual return 35,600
  • 2014 forecast 49,500

Pool Upriver Bright – PUB

  • 2013 forecast 70,000
  • 2013 actual return 207,800
  • 2014 forecast 310,600

Select Area Bright – SAB

  • 2013 forecast 9,000
  • 2013 actual return 23,300
  • 2014 forecast 10,200

Columbia River Total

  • 2013 forecast 686,900
  • 2013 actual return 1,266,400
  • 2014 forecast 1,602,900

2014 Forecasts

LRH – Similar to the 5-year average (95,500) and 2013 actual return.

LRW – Largest return since 1989. More than double the 10-year average (13,600).

BPH – About 40% greater than the 10-year average (80,700).

URB – Nearly 1 million fish…..

BUB – About 35% greater than 10-year average (36,500).

PUB – Record high forecasted return. Highest actual return on record was 207,800 in 2013.

The total forecast of 1,602,900 Columbia River fall Chinook would be the largest return on record since 1938.

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